Tag Archives: overstock

OVERSTOCK BASEBALL CARDS

While baseball cards were once one of the most popular and widely collected hobbies, many factors have contributed to a vast oversupply of cards sitting in storage facilities. The demise of the traditional baseball card boom years from the late 1980s through the mid-1990s resulted in aggressive printing from manufacturers that far exceeded demand.

During the peak popularity of the baseball card craze, companies like Fleer, Topps, and Donruss printed staggering numbers of cards each year with licensing deals from MLB, the MLBPA, and individual teams/players. Exclusive contracts meant these few companies dominated worldwide production and distribution through retail outlets. With narrower competition and inexperience evaluating long term trends, manufacturers got caught up in the excitement and short term financial gains.

Orders of hundreds of millions of packs per year became common as the frenzy hit its zenith in the early 1990s. Interest and collecting began to wane for multiple reasons. First, the scarcity element that added to cards’ appeal lessened as every kid could readily find packs. Second, speculators’ bubble popped when it became clear not every Brett, Bonds, or Babe Ruth rookie would appreciate exponentially forever. Third, the internet age dawned and online auctions let people easily liquidate duplicates and commons.

This decline unfortunately coincided with multi-year print runs authorized by the licensing agreements. Committed supply chains were already locked in to push out unprecedented numbers of rookie cards, parallels, inserts and die-cuts that far surpassed any remaining sales outlets or demand. Storage facilities provided by the printers became filled to the brim. Some estimate billions of total cards from the peak years still sit packed away taking up huge square footage.

Attempts were made over time to clear the glut. Special discount and closeout pricing as low as a few pennies per pack did move product but also further eroded perceived value and collector interest. Charity initiatives partnered with major sports organizations and donated huge lots for fundraising auctions. That only put a small temporary dent in the mammoth reserves. Many cards were pulped and recycled, yet the overhang persisted.

More recently, the industry consolidated as the big three license holders merged. Topps acquired the baseball assets of Fleer and upper management from Donruss. This eliminated competition and took two redundant printers mostly out of the daily business, freeing up some capacity. But warehouses filled with decades-old stockouts remain in the system. Periodic fire sales still happen today if a storage lease expires or a facility needs to be entirely cleared for other uses.

While demand and prices have recovered slightly from the all-time low points, true baseball card saturation continues weighing down potential appreciation going forward. The glut makes it very difficult for even the most coveted rare cards to achieve the investment levels seen in the 1980s. Except for the most iconic inductee rookies which hold steady collector interest, most mid-range vintage cards trade at affordable levels reflective of their oversupply.

Given the billions still in deep freeze, full liquidation will take many more years even at maximum accelerated pace. Reprints and inserts of retro designs indirectly help draw some eyes back to the cardboard, but new print runs dilute interest in searching originals from storied sets long entombed. The overhang casts a shadow and prevents true scarcity from returning industry-wide anytime soon. Only gradual natural collector attrition through retiring baby boomers may finally clear the way for more stable long term value growth. But for now, vast overstock remains the lingering legacy of the unsustainable boom.

While the nostalgia and appeal of baseball cards endures, past excessive printing directly correlated to short term profits has left an indelible mark with multi-billion card glut. This damages potential long term investment and hinders full recycling/appreciation for all but the true elites from the golden era. Slowly whittling away at redundant stockpiles remains an ongoing challenge for the industry going forward as effects of the 80s/90s bubble still ripple through the marketplace decades later. The oversupply fundamentally altered expectations and collecting dynamics industry-wide in the post-boom world.