Lucas Giolito is a 27-year-old right-handed starting pitcher for the Chicago White Sox. Since making his MLB debut in 2016, Giolito has developed into one of baseball’s top young arms. As a result, his baseball cards have increased dramatically in value in recent years as collectors have taken notice of his breakout potential.
Giolito was drafted 16th overall by the Washington Nationals in the 2012 amateur draft out of Harvard-Westlake High School in Los Angeles. As one of the highest drafted pitchers that year, he received great card placement and photo selection in his initial rookie card issues in sets from 2012-2013. Injuries caused him to struggle significantly during his first few years in the minors. As a result, his early minor league cards hold little value today.
This changed once Giolito was traded to the White Sox in December 2016 in the Adam Eaton deal. A change of scenery seemed to reinvigorate Giolito as he made his MLB debut with Chicago later that season. While ineffective in limited action in 2016-2017, he showed glimpses of the elite skills that made him a first round pick. Giolito’s earliest White Sox cards from release sets in 2017 have since increased in value as collectors recognized his potential if he could put it all together.
In 2018, Giolito broke out in a big way as a full-time member of the White Sox rotation. He tossed nearly 180 innings with a 3.11 ERA and 163 strikeouts, showcasing the potential that made him such a touted prospect years earlier. This breakout season caused immediate increases in value of his cards from 2018 release sets. Parallel cards like blue refractor parallels from Topps Chrome became hot commodities for fans and investors looking to buy into Giolito’s new ascendant star power.
Giolito backed up his 2018 success with an All-Star caliber 2019 campaign that saw further improvements. He notched a 3.41 ERA over 204-1/3 innings with 228 strikeouts and finished in the top 10 in AL Cy Young Award voting. This cemented him as the ace of the White Sox staff and further boosted values of his cards across the hobby. Now considered the centerpiece of the White Sox rebuild, flagship rookie cards and numbered parallels skyrocketed.
While struggling with some injuries, Giolito continued to pitch at an elite level in the shortened 2020 season. He finished with a 3.48 ERA and 82 strikeouts over 72-1/3 innings, showcasing his ability to miss bats despite the challenges of the pandemic season. This maintained his value, with many still believing he had yet to reach his ceiling potential. Popular cards like 2018 Topps Chrome blue refractor parallel #/150 remained coveted by collectors.
In 2021, Giolito authored arguably his finest season yet at only 27 years old. Over 178-2/3 innings, he posted a stellar 3.53 ERA and 201 strikeouts to finish fourth in AL Cy Young Award balloting. This career year dominance led to astronomical increases in value of many of his key cards across the years. Flagship rookie issues from 2012-2013 saw unprecedented rises, along with lower-numbered refractors and parallels from 2018-2020. Giolito had proved he belonged among the elite aces in baseball.
Coming off his top-5 Cy Young finish, expectations are high that Giolito will help lead the White Sox to postseason success in 2022 and beyond. He figures to be a fixture atop their rotation for years to come. As long as he stays healthy and continues pitching at an All-Star caliber, his baseball card prices should remain elevated compared to just a few years ago. Key cards may even appreciate more if he is able to bring a World Series title to Chicago’s South Side. Lucas Giolito’s journey from top pitching prospect to established ace is a testament to his talent and work ethic, reflected clearly through the rises in value of his baseball cards over the past half-decade.
In summary, Lucas Giolito’s baseball cards provide an interesting case study on how on-field success and dominance can drive rapid appreciation for an athlete’s collecting portfolio over just a few short seasons. While early minor league issues hold little value today, flagship rookie cards along with strategic insert parallels from his breakout years with the White Sox have seen enormous price increases. As long as he stays healthy and effective anchoring their rotation, Giolito’s top cards may continue their upward trajectory reflective of his rising star power in the game today.
