The 2023 Topps baseball card set is one of the most anticipated releases each year from the leading baseball card manufacturer. While the full checklist and rookie cards won’t be known until closer to the official release date next spring, here’s an in-depth look at what collectors can expect in terms of value from the 2023 Topps cards based on recent trends and rookie class evaluations.
One of the most valuable aspects of any Topps baseball card release are the rookie cards of the top prospects coming into the major leagues. Some names to watch for in the 2023 Topps set that could have valuable rookie cards include Druw Jones (ATL), Termarr Johnson (ATL), Elijah Green (ARI), Emerson Hancock (SEA), and Brooks Lee (LAA). Each of these players are expected to make their MLB debuts in 2023 and have All-Star caliber upside. Their Topps rookie cards, especially prizm, paper, and chrome parallels, will be hot commodities.
Another factor that drives value is autograph and memorabilia cards. Topps typically includes around a dozen or more autographed cards in hobby jumbo boxes of the standard release. Top rookie autographs like Jones, Johnson, or Green could fetch hundreds of dollars each. Serialized memorabilia cards with real game-used pieces of uniform or equipment also command premium prices, especially for star players. Watch out for 1/1 parallel versions that are true one-of-ones.
Of course, the veteran superstars remain the cornerstone for long term value. Topps rookies and base cards of franchise players like Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, and Juan Soto aren’t worth as much in the short term due to larger print runs, but they hold value better over time. A PSA 10 gem mint Trout rookie from 2009 Topps is worth over $10,000 today for example.
Parallels and serial-numbered inserts are another area where collectors can find value. Topps usually includes over a dozen parallel designs like gold, silver, black, rainbow foil, and more across the various retail and hobby releases. Serialized inserts below /25 or /10 with subjects like relics, autographs, and memorable moments also gain value fast. Popular parallels from past Topps releases like Topps Chrome, Topps Finest, and Topps Sterling still command four-figure prices for the biggest stars.
When it comes to product value, the standard Topps release has the largest overall print run but also the most variety. Hobby boxes can be found for under $100 and have a solid chance of pulling valuable rookies or parallels. Higher-end releases like Topps Chrome and Topps Finest offer more premium cards and smaller print runs. Expect to pay $150-300 per hobby box but the hit rates on valuable pulls increase substantially.
Of course, the secondary market is where the true value is determined. Many of the most valuable Topps cards weren’t highly sought after immediately after release. It takes time for the careers of players to develop and collectors to recognize the long term potential. Be patient and hold cards of stars-in-the-making, and sell off duplicates to build your collection. Topps baseball cards as a whole have proven to be a sound long term investment compared to most other sports and hobbies.
While the full details won’t be known until closer to the 2023 release date, collectors can feel confident that the Topps flagship baseball set will once again produce a new crop of valuable rookie cards and short prints that rise in secondary market value. Focus on the top prospects, chase rare serial-numbered inserts, and collect the best young stars and established veterans for an collection with long term appreciation potential. With careful research and purchases of the right products, the 2023 Topps cards offer another great opportunity for building value.
