The 2023 Bowman baseball card set just released in late June/early July of this year. It’s still very early in the cards’ existence, so it’s difficult to say definitively what individual cards may be worth long-term. We can examine some factors that could influence the potential value of 2023 Bowman cards going forward.
Bowman is one of the premier baseball card sets each year because it features rookie cards and prospects that haven’t appeared in other sets yet. Many of the game’s biggest stars had their exclusive rookie card debut in Bowman years before achieving stardom. For example, superstars like Ronald Acuña Jr., Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Juan Soto, and Albert Pujols all had their true rookie card first released in Bowman when they were prospects.
Because of this, Bowman cards tend to hold value better than most other sets in the long run if the players pan out. Rated prospects that go on to have all-star or hall of fame caliber careers see their Bowman rookie cards appreciate significantly over time. Predicting which prospects will succeed is inherently risky. Many top prospects end up busting, so their cards may never gain much value.
The 2023 Bowman set does feature some highly rated prospects that could potentially have valuable cards long-term. Shortstop Jackson Chourio from the Brewers and catcher Druw Jones from the Braves are considered two of the best prospects in the entire minor leagues and both are featured with prized autographed rookie cards. Other notable rookies include catcher Elijah Green (Rockies), pitcher Lesieux Rock (Guardians), pitcher Brock Porter (Rangers) and outfielder Justin Crawford (Angels). These players all have potential all-star upside if their development goes well.
Of course, it’s far too early to say whether any of these rookies will actually reach their ceilings or not. Injuries, poor performance or other unpredictable factors could derail their careers. When Bowman cards are first released, even the top prospects carry relatively little value compared to established major leaguers. For example, a Chourio auto may sell for a few hundred dollars now compared to an Acuña Jr. auto from a previous year at thousands due to proven MLB production.
Short-term, base rookie cards from the set will likely hold value best if the player takes an early step forward. Anyone who shines in their first pro season in 2023 could see demand for their 2023 Bowman cards increase accordingly before next year’s releases. Breakout performances create added hype and excitement. It’s still no guarantee of long-term success.
Player autographs and special parallels can hold collector appeal regardless of performance to an extent due to their scarcity. Numbered parallels like pink refractors and prized on-card autographs signed at Bowman Draft signings likely sell better initially than base cards. Memorabilia cards with game-used materials could as well.
The 2023 Bowman set holds speculation potential long-term if any of the featured rookies blossom into stars. It takes years of sustained success at the MLB level for most Bowman cards to really appreciate meaningfully in value relative to when they were new releases. Patience is required, as is some luck, as the vast majority of top prospects bust in the end. For now, investment value is low outside the priciest exclusive hits. But 2023 Bowman cards could certainly gain value moving forward if the crop of featured rookies perform to expectations. Only time will tell how their careers pan out on and off the field from an investing perspective.
While 2023 Bowman baseball cards hold longshot speculation potential based on strong prospects, their actual worth is unpredictable at this point. Base cards carry little value, but serially numbered parallels and autographed cards retain some collector appeal regardless of outcomes. Sustained MLB success is required for most to regain significance from a monetary standpoint years down the line. The young rookies featured have talent, but predicting their future success remains a gamble at this stage. Patience will be needed to let careers play out before judging the true worth of these fresh cards long-term.
